| rgar... | If your job is computer based you could be in trouble. If you are a production assembler you could be in trouble, if you work at McDonalds and expect a $30 wage you ould be in trouble. Far too long our focus has been on higher education for everyone. Trade schools, learning master skills in mechanical, electrical, contruction, automotive,etc,etc. should be the refocus of our education base for the future. |
| kris... | The tech is moving quickly but not that fast but has too many flaws. Some entry level roles will be gone but not all. |
| lcar... | I am very surprised that most people do not see what is happening before their very eyes. Every industry will be impacted by AI. I barely see my doctor anymore. CHATGPT has diagnosed the last few things that have happened and gave me solutions to heal. |
| mark... | It'll be nearly impossible to find corporate America roles that aren't impacted in some way. That said, AI still doesn't replace the ability that humans have to action data, leverage relationships, and drive change. I already leverage AI and its capabilities are indeed amazing...corporate America sees it as a way to reduce spending related to people but a more forward-thinking view would have people re-purposed to higher value activities that simply aren't getting done today b/c we're weighted down in lower value tasks. |
| seth... | And with AI, who needs CEOs? They make decisions based upon data and staff PowerPoints. Something an algorithm can do much faster and much better. They will need to get out more, walk around the troops doing the actual work, and add some actual value! |
| vinc... | Not what I’m seeing in my industry. AI is helping a lot and making processes faster, but it is still requiring a driver and a high level of oversight for errors. I have asked AI do some analysis of documents, and it still misses significant info that would not be tolerated oversights for even an entry level analyst. Sure it’s fast and can help summarize but not something that can be trusted on much yet or to make great business recommendations. |
| grae... | AI will continually learn and improve at an exponential rate, it will not stop. Things will be created that we have no concept of what it is, meaning we won't understand it. Each innovation will create 100's more and so on. |
| cepo... | Forecasts are usually extreme pendulum swings. |
| kink... | It’s certainly a shift. I expect an uptick in trade jobs such as electrical, plumbing, etc. plus, AI will require management, regulation, even policing. And that means new jobs. |
| cole... | Nothing moves as fast as people thing. AI isn’t sentient and makes tons of mistakes. At some point the government will catch on to the job destruction and climate destruction and slow this down or there will be a war |
| jame... | AI is creating jobs - both directly and indirectly - as it also antiquates others. While there may be a net decline, if so I doubt it will approach 50% of ALL WHITE COLLAR jobs by 2023. Indeed, as the demand for AI and its integration into everyday equipment and business processes expands, more jobs could be created by AI than made redundant. |
| gayl... | We need federal regulations on all these companies. It’s scary to think humans will be replaced by machines. Where is this going, a technological revolution between humans and AI??? |
| liz.... | It’s so flawed, I dont see that |
| meli... | AI will undoubtedly change the texture and shape of so many jobs that exist today but will yield new roles and opportunities too. Our society and culture are not set up for humans to not work. Humans are creative, entrepreneurial and will find new ways to contribute. |
| todd... | I think there will be disruption but I do not trust tech leaders to be honest about the capabilities and practical applications of AI |
| pelt... | There are 70 million white collar/professional jobs in the USA. It is unrealistic to expect 35 million people would lose their jobs in 5 years. |
| bria... | People still want to deal with people. Remember a long time ago when people said Webex and Skype would negate any reason for a business trip? Or, when we learned the world would completely adopt remote work? |
| coco... | I am a life long public defender and, I assure you ---NOT that my job will be impossible to replace in just 5 years (though it WILL be impossible to replace in just 5 years) it will be impossible to replace in just five years) but that never underestimate the destructive capacity of humans. |
| kvas... | Corporations are job "creators" only to the extent necessary to make the fattest profits possible for their shareholders and senior officers. It's not out of the kindness of their hearts. If they can dump the high-paid white collar employees and add to their profits, they'll do it in a heartbeat. |
| erwi... | I have been using Gen AI heavily and what used to take several days of research and people resources, only takes me minutes. I am already focused on trying to automated several back office processes today, which I know I will complete by end of the year and refine further next year. If you don't have AI in your resume or know how to use it for efficiency, you will be left behind. What used to take 10-15 people can now be done by 1-2 people with the right AI tools. By 2030, jobs will evolve. Either you learn to ride the train now or be left behind. |
| lewp... | We have undoubtedly entered into a substantive innovative process that duels inanimates against animates; emotions against non emotions etc. As a result, the intellectual value of the average Joe has entered into the world of diminishing returns and/or is being reduced substantially. |
| arth... | AI will likely open more opportunities for new careers while at the same time eliminating a lot of old ones. Chicken Little doesn’t need to start cackling just yet. |
| rich... | Only in Silicon Valley , Vinod things we all want robots because he does? Half of America believe a fool is a god still |
| mr.h... | They may invent ways to speed up production, but I can't see a nurse or a doctor being replaced by a robot. Imagine having a robot come out to change a kitchen faucet in a home. |
| lws0... | People always seem to over estimate the impact of modernity on employment. Where are all the telephone operators, the baggers in supermarkets? Look at the rise of TSA like positions. |
| tess... | Interesting division of votes! AI is already depriving young adults of prospective jobs. It's already happening. The billionaire CEOs of AI tech companies will all be vying for control of machines, and they won't care one iota about the effect on jobs. I feel badly that I had children. I don't know how to guide them to a semblance of prosperity. |
| zmjd... | The power abs scope of AI is not really understood. It just burst on the scene, unregulated with little thought of consequences. AI is at the core of the Matrix series, William Gibson's dystopian world and all novels, series and films that pit machines against humans. It's dangerous. We are embarking on a journey we don't understand with little regard for the consequences. |
| kart... | I think five years is too soon for a change of that magnitude. But 10 years? Could easily happen. |
| lora... | This is a good thing. These people can then go back to work in the manufacturing plants Trump is bringing back to the US. It will also eliminate the need for illegal immigrants to pick crops, babysit, gardening, maid service, etc. |
| kerr... | Sometimes we are too smart for our own self interests… |
| becc... | I don't believe we have the energy resources to run extensive AI now or in the near future. |
| avaa... | Already started |
| ljtu... | Intuitional inertia will slow. |
| pvol... | The entry white collar jobs require repetive work that can be done easily by AI. Large industry will quickly convert to AI to save money, just like they switched to foreign based consumer service employees. |
| lynn... | I believe that within 5 years AI will advance much further. But it will take |
| mdul... | If the question had been the replacement of all entry level or intern-level white collar jobs by 2030 (5 years), it might at least required some contemplation. However, there are some 70M - 80M white collar jobs in the US at this time. To suggest that nearly 40M of those will be replaced by AI when we can't even get current AI to reliably provide answers to questions today (we need to check each result) seems beyond unlikely. |
| rysh... | The jobs that will be eliminated will be individuals that either A. Don’t embrace AI as a co-pilot for their work(still requires AI supervision, but increases productivity) or B. Individuals who flat out reject or avoid AI as an integral solution in their work. The best thing white collar workers can do right now is embrace and understand the utility and limitations of AI as it applies to their work. The leaders of the future will need to be able to effectively implement these tools and build them into strategy in ways that clearly benefit their organizations in order to remain relevant. There will of course also be cases where AI can flat out replace jobs, but this will be more in the customer service and operations aspect of business as things currently stand, from where I sit. |
| jane... | These bold, broad predictions are rarely correct. I remember predictions like this in my childhood. One predicted a 32 hour work week, the other said we would become a paperless society. Although both are somewhat true, the entirety of the predictions is far from accurate. |
| atli... | We need a guaranteed annual payment to all to offset the loss of consumer purchasing power caused by this job loss, paid for by the savings corporations will experience by lowered labor costs. |
| ppoi... | The elimination of jobs is a choice. Economies with 10 - 20% unemployment tend to be unstable. These CEOs should be working with industry, schools and government on the best way to evolve to ensure unemployment remains low. It sounds like they are complaining and that isn't helpful. |
| kony... | The intentions around AI from some business leaders are basic - minimize cost, maximize profit. labor is a cost. If AI can minimize labor costs, and deliver the same, serviceable or better results, I expect labor/jobs to be reduced. |
| park... | No kne realizes 2030 is only 5 years away. |
| cb10... | Even if it can be done, I don’t think most people want to interact with a robot or a chat bot. It is ridiculous. |
| pete... | These types of changes need investment by those business in AI to achieve those reductions. Also, I expect salaries will see downward pressure before jobs are outright eliminated, which means break even may become a moving target. Also any economic recessions will slow things down as well. |
| fkla... | I feel that the timeline is too advanced |
| ebr.... | If AI is more efficient and correct most of the time, then I can see how that'd work. But taking away white collar jobs that humans actually want and work hard for? Nah, that's not likely. So, it depends on the willingness of people to hand over their jobs to AI at that point. Those white collar folks better hope AI doesn't develop better intelligence on its own. |
| cdia... | There is going to be a huge need for oversight and new jobs will be created. |
| char... | It’s coming… sad for humans |
| jdka... | The current trend is likely to continue but not at this pace. Question is what other opportunities will be created. Also how will the benefits of ai be realized by society as a whole. |
